MarketChanceChance, last 24 hours24hAI analystsGap (AI analysts' average minus market chance)Top tradersCloses
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?Closes 47d81%—————47dWill the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Closes 78d——————78dWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?AI 92% · Closes 17d93%——92%−1—17dWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?Closes 78d17%—————78dWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Closes 47d41%—————47dWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?AI 33% · Closes 17d32%——33%+10 · 117dWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?Closes 78d10%————none78dNext Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Closes 47d68%————1 · 047dWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Closes 78d23%————4 · 278dWill Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?AI 1% · Closes 6d1%——1%—none6dGPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Closes 259d43%————1 · 1259dWill Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?AI 26% · Closes 17d27%——26%−11 · 017dWill the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?AI 45% · Closes 259d22%——45%+230 · 1259dWill Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?AI 33% · Closes 17d16%——33%+172 · 017dWill OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?AI 32% · Closes 47d40%——32%−8none47dWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?AI 61% · Closes 17d59%——61%+21 · 117dWill there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?AI 57% · Closes 17d94%——57%−373 · 217dWill Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?AI 4% · Closes 17d4%——4%—0 · 217dWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Closes 78d15%————1 · 478dWill CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?AI 1% · Closes 78d3%——1%−2none78dWill AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?AI 85% · Closes 78d77%——85%+83 · 178dWill Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?AI 8% · Closes 78d7%——8%+10 · 178dWill the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?AI 47% · Closes 78d38%——47%+92 · 278dWill Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?AI 36% · Closes 78d39%——36%−31 · 078d
