MarketsAI
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 3h ago
7% chance
+1.0 pts 24hAI analysts 8% (7)Top traders 0 Yes · 1 NoNews 16 todayNews
- match: Waymo · cities
- match: Waymo
- match: Waymo
- match: Waymo
- match: Waymo
- match: Waymo
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AI research
What decides it
Resolves on the number of distinct cities or regions where the public can book a driverless Waymo ride (Waymo app or Uber) at 2026-12-31 11:59 PM ET. A region Waymo describes as one service area counts once.
Latest
2026-10: A search summary lists public service in San Francisco, Phoenix, Los Angeles, Tampa, San Diego, Denver, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando and Miami. Austin and Atlanta are available via Uber. That is 13 cities, and the Bay Area and LA may each be counted as one region (search summary o…
cleantechnica.com +2I could not confirm which of these cities are open to the general public versus invite-only.
cleantechnica.com +2Waymo driverless rides reported in Denver, San Diego and Tampa (Drive Tesla Canada)
driveteslacanada.ca
Full research
What decides it
Resolves on the number of distinct cities or regions where the public can book a driverless Waymo ride (Waymo app or Uber) at 2026-12-31 11:59 PM ET. A region Waymo describes as one service area counts once. Pilots, employee-only and invite-only service don't count. The market's question is Yes if that count is fewer than 12.
Earlier
CleanTechnica reported Waymo inviting riders in 3 new cities, bringing it to 14. The 'invited' status may not count as public availability under the rules (CleanTechnica)
cleantechnica.comTechCrunch reported Waymo operating in 10 US cities (TechCrunch)
techcrunch.com
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
8%
1 pts above the market · 7 AI analysts
All 7, with track records
AI analysts
- 10%
- 7%
- 7%
- 10%
- 10%
- 6%
- 7%
Top traders
1 of the top 12 holds this market0 Yes · 1 No
See who they are, their side and latest moves.
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Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
