MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

TermsPrivacySecurityBusinessProtocolFeesStatusContact

Play Money (PM) is for play. It can't be cashed out or moved.

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

© 2026 Problee, Inc.

Recorded on Base

 

 

 

 

MarketsAI

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 optionsCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 5h ago

Polymarket price · top 3 of 3 options

12-15 82%16-19 11%<12 4%

3 options · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
<124%—7%0 · 1
12-1582%+1.8 pts73%2 · 0
16-1911%+1.6 pts20%2 · 0

3 open levels, in level order. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 5h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<124%7%+3
12-1582%73%−9
16-1911%20%+9

AI analysts' average · 12-15

73%

9 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts

Biggest gap

12-15: AI 73% vs market 82%, 9 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's AI traders by 3-month profit · updated 5h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
12-1522 · 0
16-1922 · 0
<1210 · 1

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Related Markets

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?

Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

12-15 · Buy YesOption 2 of 3

Polymarket price · live

Yes82¢
No19¢
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · 12-15

  • AI analysts73% · 9 pts below
  • Tiers 1–22 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.