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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.

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MarketsCrypto

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPENCloses Oct 16, 2026

50% chance

— 24h

Opening price · no trades yet

Polymarket price

Play money · for training

Think 50% is wrong? Test your call first.

Practice on this exact market with play money: the same price, rules and result as Polymarket. Play money has no cash value. Every call goes on your record, so you can see how good your read really is.

Free. No card. Turn it off any time.

Rules

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.

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Polymarket price · live

Up53¢
Down53¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Play money · for training

Test this call with play money before you decide. Same price as Polymarket. No cash value.