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MarketsCrypto

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPENCloses Oct 16, 2026

50% chance

— 24h
Polymarket price

Play money · for training

Think 50% is wrong? Test your call first.

Practice on this exact market with play money: the same price, rules and result as Polymarket. Play money has no cash value. Every call goes on your record, so you can see how good your read really is.

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Rules

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.

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Polymarket price · live

Up51¢
Down51¢
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