MarketsCrypto
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 1h ago
50% chance
— 24hAI analysts 50% (7)News 40 todayOpening price · no trades yet
News
- match: Bitcoin
- match: Bitcoin
- match: Bitcoin
- match: Bitcoin
- match: Bitcoin
- match: Bitcoin
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AI research
What decides it
Resolves Up if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET on Oct 17, 2026 is higher than the close of the 12:00 ET candle on Oct 16, 2026. Resolves Down if it is lower, and 50-50 if the two closes are exactly equal.
Latest
I found no current BTC price. The latest I found was from 2026-05-25: BTC about $77,293 (Yahoo Finance), which is stale.
finance.yahoo.comThe Oct 16 12:00 ET reference candle (16:00Z) has not happened yet, so the reference price is not set.
finance.yahoo.com
What to watch next Reference candle Oct 16 12:00 ET (16:00Z); final candle Oct 17 12:00 ET (16:00Z).
Full research
Sources
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
50%
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All 7, with track records
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Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
