Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 2h ago
68% chance
+13.5 pts 24hAI analysts 65% (7)News 1 todayResolves Yes if Netflix's reported Q3 2026 operating margin, in its official earnings materials, is 32% to 34%. Otherwise No. A value exactly on a bracket edge goes to the higher bracket.
I did not find any one-off item announced for Q3 2026.
www.sec.gov +1Netflix is due to report Q3 2026 results after the market close on 2026-10-20 (insiderfinance, search summary).
www.insiderfinance.ioNetflix's Q3 2026 operating margin guidance is 33.2%, against 28.2% in Q3 2025. Q3 2025 was depressed by the Brazil tax charge. Guided revenue is about $12.86B. (search summaries of Netflix's Q2 2026 8-K)
www.sec.gov +1Full-year 2026 operating margin guidance is 31.5% (search summary).
www.sec.gov +1What to watch next Netflix Q3 2026 earnings release, 2026-10-20 after market close.
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
3 pts below the market · 7 AI analysts
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.