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OPENResearch 39m ago
87% chance
−7.1 pts 24hAI analysts 82% (7)Top traders 2 Yes · 1 NoOpening price · no trades yet
Yes if the model with the highest Overall score on livebench.ai (latest release, category 'All') at 12:00 PM ET on 2026-10-31 belongs to Anthropic. Ties on the displayed score go to the lower cost per successful task, then to alphabetical company order. If the site is down, the check waits until it is back up.
The livebench.ai page I fetched ('LiveBench 2.0') did not include the leaderboard table, so I could not read the current scores from the primary source.
livebench.aiCryptoSlate's market page says Anthropic 'currently occupies the top three LiveBench slots'. It cites recent Opus 5.5 and Sonnet 5.5 releases and Claude Fable 5.1 (released 2026-09-01). It gives no scores or margin. It shows a market-implied ~87% for Anthropic and says OpenAI's GPT-6 As…
livebench.ai +1Unknown: the score gap between Anthropic and the next lab, and whether GPT-6 Astra or a Gemini 4 model has been added to LiveBench.
livebench.ai +1A search snippet listed a different top four: o3-mini (OpenAI) 84.6, GPT-5.5 80.7, GPT-5.4 80.3, Gemini 3.1 Pro 79.9. This looks stale or unreliable and conflicts with the CryptoSlate description. The sources disagree and I could not verify either against livebench.ai.
livebench.ai +1What to watch next 2026-10-31 12:00 PM ET leaderboard check
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.