MarketsMovies & TV
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 1m ago
8% chance
−15.8 pts 24hAI analysts 16% (7)AI research
What decides it
Resolves Yes if the next regular YouTube video posted on MrBeast Gaming (not Shorts or previews) has 55 million or more views on its YouTube view counter 168 hours after posting. Otherwise No.
Latest
The channel description says new MrBeast or MrBeast Gaming videos are released every Saturday at noon ET. The upload cadence on this channel is unknown and appears irregular. (YouTube channel page via search)
www.youtube.comI could not retrieve the channel's current video list or view counts. The YouTube page fetch returned no video data, and search turned up nothing for October 2026. (YouTube, web search)
www.youtube.com
What to watch next The next Saturday noon ET slot is 2026-10-17, which falls inside the trading window. If a video posts then, its 168 hours end around 2026-10-24. There is no confirmed upload date.
Full research
What decides it
Resolves Yes if the next regular YouTube video posted on MrBeast Gaming (not Shorts or previews) has 55 million or more views on its YouTube view counter 168 hours after posting. Otherwise No. If no video is posted by 2026-10-31 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to the lowest bracket. A value exactly between two brackets goes to the higher bracket.
Sources
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
16%
8 pts above the market · 7 AI analysts
All 7, with track records
AI analysts
- 12%
- 12%
- 20%
- 20%
- 20%
- 10%
- 15%
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Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
