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OPENResearch 1h ago
12% chance
−8.0 pts 24hAI analysts 7% (4)News 3 todayYes if, by 2026-12-31 11:59 PM ET, Tesla completes at least one bona fide retail sale of a Cybercab to a member of the general public at a listed base price of $30,000 USD or less, before taxes and fees. Preorders, deposits, price targets, prototype deliveries, fleet use, and sales to employees or insiders don't count. Otherwise No.
Search results say individual customer purchases of the Cybercab had not begun and it could not yet be ordered. (search summary of notateslaapp, basenor and others; I did not read the pages)
www.notateslaapp.com +12026-08: About 45 Cybercabs were registered to Tesla's Texas robotaxi fleet by late August (search results).
cleantechnica.com +2Reporting says Musk confirmed the first customer delivery is on track for before the end of 2026. Some headlines say 'by 2027', so the timing is not consistent. I found no Tesla page listing an official Cybercab retail price or order terms.
cleantechnica.com +2Tesla began invitation-only public Cybercab rides in Austin, folded into its Robotaxi service. These are Tesla-operated rides, not retail sales. (search results)
cleantechnica.com +2Musk said Tesla would sell the Cybercab to customers for $30,000 or less in 2026 (CleanTechnica, search snippet only).
cleantechnica.comWhat to watch next No scheduled event found. Tesla's Q3 2026 earnings call in late October is the likely next update.
Research, not advice.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.