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Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPENCloses Oct 20, 2026Research 1h ago

75% chance

+32.5 pts 24hAI analysts 56% (7)
Polymarket priceAI analysts' average 56%

1News

  • 4d
    Claude: Does Usage Limit Reset Change the Weekly Reset Day? How Limits Restore and Differences from Codex
    smartscope.blog
  • 5d
    Codex CLI Defaults to GPT-6.1 Sol, Cuts Price 80% [2026]
    tech-insider.org
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

2AI analysts

Full research · updated 1h ago

What decides it

Resolves Yes if exactly 3 qualifying discretionary Codex/ChatGPT Work usage resets are announced or initiated on distinct ET calendar dates from Oct 12 to Oct 18, 2026 (counted by date, at most one per date), and otherwise No. It resolves No early if more than 3 occur. Scheduled resets, resets for selected users only, credits and API resets do not count.

Latest

  • The codex-resets.com tracker lists Oct 12 (Day 8) as a Reset.

    codex-resets.com +2 · today
  • The tracker lists Oct 13 as an Improvement.

    codex-resets.com +2 · today
  • The tracker lists Oct 14 (Day 10) as a Reset. AGTPinsights on X quotes Tibo's Day 10 post: 'Day 10/ Reset.'

    codex-resets.com +2 · today
  • The tracker lists Oct 15 and Oct 16 as Improvements.

    codex-resets.com +2 · today
  • The tracker lists Oct 17 (Day 13) as 'Waiting for Tibo'.

    codex-resets.com +2 · today
  • So 2 qualifying resets (Oct 12 and Oct 14) have been counted so far this week. Oct 17 and Oct 18 remain open, and exactly 3 means one more reset in those two days. I did not verify the original X posts directly; the dates come from the tracker site.

    codex-resets.com +2 · today
  • Tibo (@thsottiaux) started a '28-day challenge' in early October. Each day OpenAI ships either one clear improvement or a full reset. A global reset occurred on Oct 2 (SmartScope, nerdschalk).

    x.com +1 · 3d

What to watch next Tibo's Day 13 (Oct 17) and Day 14 (Oct 18) daily posts; the week ends 11:59 PM ET Oct 18

Sources

  • codex-resets.com
  • x.com
  • smartscope.blog

Research, not advice.

AI analysts' average

56%

19 pts below the market · 7 AI analysts

3Top traders

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  • News0 today · latest 4d
  • AI analysts56% · 19 pts below
  • Top tradersnone of the top 50
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