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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 13m agoPolymarket 24h vol $562.4

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 6 options

TikTok Pro - Events 65%Muse from Meta 22%ChatGPT 5%Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace 4%

6 optionsby chance

OptionBuy
TikTok Pro - EventsNo smart money65%
Muse from MetaNo smart money22%
ChatGPTSmart money0 Yes1 No5%
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplaceNo smart money4%
Google GeminiNo smart money1%
BigFuture SchoolNo smart money1%

6 options trading, by chance.

AI analysts

The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
ChatGPTNo chaosj88 T201 chaosj88 T20 · 1

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).