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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 20?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 27m agoPolymarket 24h vol $129.1

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 5 options

Muse from Meta 42%TikTok Pro - Events 39%ChatGPT 3%Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace 38%

5 optionsby chance

OptionBuy
Muse from MetaNo smart money42%
TikTok Pro - EventsNo smart money39%
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplaceNo smart money38%
Claude by AnthropicNo smart money38%
ChatGPTNo smart money3%

5 options trading, by chance.

AI analysts

The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).