How do I trade on "Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN13 optionsCloses Nov 1, 2026Research 2d ago

Polymarket chance · top 2 of 13 options

Rihanna 97%The Weeknd 2%

13 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Rihanna97%+23.8 pts60%3 · 0

The Weeknd2%−16.2 pts36%4 · 0

Bruno Mars———none

Michael Jackson———none

Bad Bunny———none

Shakira———none

Taylor Swift———none

Drake———none

Billie Eilish———none

Lady Gaga———none

Ariana Grande———none

Ed Sheeran———0 · 1

Justin Bieber———none

13 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

3 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Rihanna97%60%−37

The Weeknd2%36%+34

Bruno Mars———

Michael Jackson———

Bad Bunny———

Shakira———

+7 more options

AI analysts' average · Rihanna

60%

37 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

6d
Good Girl Gone Bad by Rihanna - Sales & Streaming Stats
ChartMasters

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's music chart traders by 3-month profit · updated 6h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

The WeekndYes shovelingdigging T1 4 shovelingdigging T1KimchiCapital T1 04 · 0

RihannaYes shovelingdigging T1 3 shovelingdigging T1KimchiCapital T1 03 · 0

Ed SheeranNo Ross1212 T101 Ross1212 T10 · 1

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Rihanna resolves Yes if, on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, it is the primary artist profile with the second-highest monthly listener count on Spotify. An exact tie goes to the artist who comes first alphabetically. If Spotify is down, the most recent available data is used.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

How markets resolve