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PGA Tour: Austin Championship Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 11m agoPolymarket 24h vol $10K
Tom Hoge 40%Beau Hossler 39%Harry Hall 34%Michael Kim 20%
100 optionsby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
Tom HogeNo smart money40%41%
Beau HosslerNo smart money39%4%
Harry HallNo smart money34%5%
Michael KimNo smart money20%
Ben JamesNo smart money20%
Jackson KoivunNo smart money6%
Doug GhimNo smart money5%
Blades BrownNo smart money4%
Jordan L. SmithNo smart money3%
Andrew NovakNo smart money3%
Pierceson CoodyNo smart money2%
Brian HarmanNo smart money2%
Chris KirkNo smart money2%
David FordNo smart money2%
Austin SmothermanNo smart money2%
Johnny KeeferNo smart money2%
Ben KohlesNo smart money2%
Zach BauchouNo smart money2%
Christo LamprechtNo smart money2%
Joe HighsmithNo smart money1%
Jackson SuberNo smart money1%
Seamus PowerNo smart money1%
Max GreysermanNo smart money1%
Marco PengeNo smart money1%
Christiaan BezuidenhoutNo smart money1%
Rico HoeyNo smart money1%
Austin EckroatNo smart money1%
Ricky CastilloNo smart money1%
Eric ColeNo smart money<1%
Jesper SvenssonNo smart money<1%
Max HomaNo smart money<1%
Davis ThompsonNo smart money<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-PetersenNo smart money<1%
Stephan JaegerNo smart money<1%
Kensei HirataNo smart money<1%
Max McGreevyNo smart money<1%
Rasmus HojgaardNo smart money<1%
Brice GarnettNo smart money<1%
Patton KizzireNo smart money<1%
Luke ClantonNo smart money<1%
Trace CroweNo smart money<1%
Neal ShipleyNo smart money<1%
Davis ChatfieldNo smart money<1%
Matt KucharNo smart money<1%
Emilio GonzalezNo smart money<1%
Pontus NyholmNo smart money<1%
Cole SherwoodNo smart money<1%
Jeffrey KangNo smart money<1%
Mac MeissnerNo smart money<1%
Hao-Tong LiNo smart money<1%
Mackenzie HughesNo smart money<1%
Nick TaylorNo smart money<1%
Sam StevensNo smart money<1%
Emiliano GrilloNo smart money<1%
Adrien Dumont De ChassartNo smart money<1%
Daniel BergerNo smart money<1%
Miles RussellNo smart money<1%
Chandler PhillipsNo smart money<1%
Ze-Cheng DouNo smart money<1%
Taylor MooreNo smart money<1%
Isaiah SalindaNo smart money<1%
Marcelo RozoNo smart money<1%
Nick DunlapNo smart money<1%
Matthieu PavonNo smart money<1%
Gordon SargentNo smart money<1%
Henry LebiodaNo smart money<1%
Taylor PendrithNo smart money<1%
Billy HorschelNo smart money<1%
Zac BlairNo smart money<1%
Lucas GloverNo smart money<1%
John ParryNo smart money<1%
A.J. EwartNo smart money<1%
William MouwNo smart money<1%
Patrick FishburnNo smart money<1%
Peter MalnatiNo smart money<1%
Matt McCartyNo smart money<1%
Adam SchenkNo smart money<1%
Andrew PutnamNo smart money<1%
Rikuya HoshinoNo smart money<1%
Casey RussellNo smart money<1%
Davis RileyNo smart money<1%
Kevin StreelmanNo smart money<1%
Lee HodgesNo smart money<1%
Cam DavisNo smart money<1%
Kevin RoyNo smart money<1%
Chad RameyNo smart money<1%
Nicholas LindheimNo smart money<1%
Rafael CamposNo smart money<1%
Cheng Tsung PanNo smart money<1%
Tommy MorrisonNo smart money<1%
Patrick RodgersNo smart money<1%
Mark HubbardNo smart money<1%
Adam SvenssonNo smart money<1%
Adrien SaddierNo smart money<1%
Christiaan MaasNo smart money<1%
Chandler BlanchetNo smart money<1%
Joel DahmenNo smart money<1%
Justin LowerNo smart money<1%
David LipskyNo smart money<1%
Takumi KanayaNo smart money<1%
100 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Tom Hoge40%41%+1
Beau Hossler39%4%−35
Harry Hall34%5%−29
Michael Kim20%
Ben James20%
Jackson Koivun6%
+94 more options
AI analysts' average · Tom Hoge
41%
1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on Tom Hoge
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
100 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Tom Hoge resolves Yes if the listed player Tom Hoge is the official winner of the 2026 Austin Championship (PGA Tour, Nov 12-15, 2026), as published by pgatour.com. It resolves No if Tom Hoge is eliminated from contention under the tournament's official rules, or if another listed player wins. An unlisted winner resolves 'Other'.
- Watch out
- If no winner is announced by November 21, 2026 at 7:00PM ET the market resolves to 'Other', and an unlisted winner also resolves 'Other'. A tie is settled by the PGA Tour's official winner, and if multiple winners are announced the alphabetically first listed last name wins.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Austin Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Austin Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Austin Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by November 21, 2026 at 7:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).