Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 level openResearch 3d ago
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? 8%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
1 level open
1 option trading.
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
1 pts above the market · 4 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 4 level, 0 price closer, on 313–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Yes if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil's Supreme Federal Court for any period between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of his resignation or removal before then resolves Yes immediately, whenever it takes effect. Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
