Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 levels open1 closedResearch 3d ago
Creator-reported score
This captured game score is the creator’s evidence. The market verdict is shown separately.
Loading data...
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
0 levels open · in level order
1 closed level
0 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket
The calls
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
39 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 0 price closer, on 394–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves 'Mbappé' if Kylian Mbappé is placed higher than Lamine Yamal in the official men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking, and 'Yamal' if Yamal is placed higher. Equal placement resolves 50-50. It also resolves 50-50 if the award is postponed beyond November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, is canceled, or the placements are not published by then.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Yamal" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.