Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 levels open1 closedResearch 2d ago
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AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?
24 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 0 price closer, on 360–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves 'Rodri' if Rodri ranks higher than Lionel Messi in the official men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking, and 'Messi' if Messi ranks higher. The same placement resolves 50-50. A postponement past November 9, 2026 11:59 PM ET, a cancellation, or no published placements by then also resolves 50-50.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Rodri" if Rodri finishes higher than Lionel Messi in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Messi" if Lionel Messi finishes higher than Rodri. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.