MarketsMovies & TV
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 options6 closedResearch 7d ago
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OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo
98%
2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 313 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Yes if 'You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love' by Olivia Rodrigo is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart dated 'Week of October 31, 2026'. That chart reflects the tracking week of Oct 16–22 and is expected to publish around Oct 27–28. Any other #1 album means No. Ties are broken alphabetically by title. If the chart is not published within 14 days of the expected date, the market resolves 'Other'.
- Resolution criteria
- Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of October 31, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
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