MarketsCrypto
Bitcoin above ___ on November 12?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 2m agoPolymarket 24h vol $78.6K
66,000 >99%68,000 99%70,000 97%72,000 82%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
11 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
66,000No smart money>99%99%
68,000No smart money99%97%
70,000Smart money1 Yes0 No97%92%
72,000Smart money1 Yes0 No82%
74,000Smart money1 Yes0 No46%
76,000Smart money1 Yes0 No9%
78,000Smart money1 Yes1 No2%
80,000Smart money2 Yes0 No<1%
82,000No smart money<1%
84,000Smart money2 Yes0 No<1%
86,000No smart money<1%
11 options trading.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
66,000>99%99%−1
68,00099%97%−2
70,00097%92%−5
72,00082%
74,00046%
76,0009%
+5 more options
AI analysts' average · 66,000
99%
1 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on 66,000
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
78,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No ssddssdssddssd: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 ssddssdssddssd: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 · 1
80,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2cyfracyfra: Tier 2, #18 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
84,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2NASX33NASX33: Tier 2, #44 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
70,000Yes ssddssdssddssd: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 ssddssdssddssd: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
72,000Yes ssddssdssddssd: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 ssddssdssddssd: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
74,000Yes ssddssdssddssd: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 ssddssdssddssd: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
76,000Yes thismonththismonth: Tier 2, #33 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 thismonththismonth: Tier 2, #33 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
4 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- 66,000 resolves Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on Nov 12, 2026 has a final 'Close' price above the threshold in the title. Otherwise it resolves No.
- Watch out
- Only the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on Nov 12 counts. Other exchanges, other pairs and other minutes do not. The Close must be strictly higher than the threshold.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.