MarketsCrypto
Bitcoin above ___ on November 16?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $6.8K
66,000 98%68,000 95%70,000 86%72,000 69%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
11 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
66,000No smart money98%97%
68,000No smart money95%93%
70,000No smart money86%86%
72,000No smart money69%
74,000No smart money43%
76,000No smart money21%
78,000No smart money8%
80,000No smart money3%
82,000No smart money2%
84,000No smart money<1%
86,000No smart money<1%
11 options trading.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
66,00098%97%−1
68,00095%93%−2
70,00086%86%0
72,00069%
74,00043%
76,00021%
+5 more options
AI analysts' average · 66,000
97%
1 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on 66,000
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
11 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- 66,000 resolves Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 ET (noon) on November 16 has a final 'Close' price above 66,000. Otherwise it resolves No. Only Binance BTC/USDT counts, at the precision the source shows.
- Watch out
- Only the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 ET (noon) on November 16 counts, and its Close must be strictly higher than 66,000. Other exchanges, other pairs and other times do not count.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.