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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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MarketsCrypto

Bitcoin above ___ on November 17?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $9.4K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

64,000 99%62,000 98%66,000 98%68,000 95%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

11 levels open

OptionAI analystsBuy
62,000No smart money98%98%
64,000No smart money99%96%
66,000No smart money98%93%
68,000No smart money95%
70,000No smart money87%
72,000No smart money71%
74,000No smart money48%
76,000No smart money26%
78,000No smart money12%
80,000No smart money6%
82,000No smart money2%

11 options trading.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 9h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
62,00098%98%0
64,00099%96%−3
66,00098%93%−5
68,00095%
70,00087%
72,00071%
+5 more options

AI analysts' average · 62,000

98%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Your forecast on 62,000

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

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Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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In plain English
62,000 resolves Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 ET (noon) on November 17 has a final 'Close' above the 62,000 dollar level in the title. Otherwise it resolves No.
Watch out
Only the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 ET (noon) on November 17 counts; other exchanges, pairs and minutes do not. The close must be strictly higher than the threshold.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.