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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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MarketsCrypto

Bitcoin price on November 12?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 1h agoPolymarket 24h vol $9.4K

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 11 options

72,000-74,000 39%74,000-76,000 37%70,000-72,000 12%76,000-78,000 10%

11 optionsin level order

OptionAI analystsBuy
<68,000No smart money1%
68,000-70,000No smart money2%
70,000-72,000No smart money12%13%
72,000-74,000No smart money39%40%
74,000-76,000No smart money37%34%
76,000-78,000No smart money10%
78,000-80,000No smart money1%
80,000-82,000No smart money<1%
82,000-84,000No smart money<1%
84,000-86,000No smart money<1%
>86,000No smart money<1%

11 open levels, in level order.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<68,0001%
68,000-70,0002%
70,000-72,00012%13%+1
72,000-74,00039%40%+1
74,000-76,00037%34%−3
76,000-78,00010%
+5 more options

AI analysts' average · <68,000

—

Your forecast on <68,000

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.