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"Clayface" total domestic gross by November 30?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $296.5
73M+ 61%70-73M 44%67-70M 31%64-67M 5%
5 optionsin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
<64MNo smart money5%
64-67MNo smart money5%
67-70MNo smart money31%
70-73MNo smart money44%
73M+No smart money61%
5 open levels, in level order.
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News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
5 options: no ranked trader holds them
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to how much "Clayface" box office will gross domestically from its opening (October 22, 2026) through November 30, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) cumulative figure through November 30, 2026 is available, and no later than December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the "Total Gross" figure for November 30, 2026 in the "Daily Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "To Date" figure for November 30, 2026 on the "Domestic Daily" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page. If a source lists no figure for November 30, 2026, its figure for the most recent listed date before November 30, 2026 will be used. If neither source has a final figure by December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the cumulative domestic gross until and including November 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.