How do I trade on "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 levels openCloses Apr 2, 2027Research 10h ago

Polymarket chance · the 2 levels nearest 50%

March 31, 2027 27%December 31 13%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

2 levels open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 3113%+0.5 pts7%2 · 4

March 31, 202727%—12%0 · 1

2 options trading.

AI analysts

4 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 10h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

December 3113%7%−6

March 31, 202727%12%−15

AI analysts' average · March 31, 2027

12%

15 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

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Polymarket's markets traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

December 31Yes Vagabund97 T2 No Dimpled-Foal T1 2 Vagabund97 T2konsomida T2 4 Dimpled-Foal T1bitterfish T1 2 · 4

March 31, 2027No 881112 T201 881112 T20 · 1

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

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In plain English: March 31, 2027 resolves Yes if the CME official daily high for the active-month CL futures contract exceeds $147.27 on any trading day after market creation, through the final trading day on or before the option's date. Otherwise No.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.

How markets resolve