MarketsPolitics
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $10.4K
60-79 37%80-99 28%40-59 18%100-119 13%
11 options
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
<20No smart money<1%
20-39No smart money1%
40-59No smart money18%
60-79Smart money1 Yes1 No37%18%
80-99Smart money2 Yes0 No28%28%
100-119Smart money1 Yes0 No13%22%
120-139Smart money1 Yes0 No8%
140-159No smart money12%
160-179No smart money6%
180-199No smart money4%
200+Smart money0 Yes1 No9%
11 options trading.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<20<1%
20-391%
40-5918%
60-7937%18%−19
80-9928%28%0
100-11913%22%+9
+5 more options
AI analysts' average · <20
—
Your forecast on <20
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
60-79Yes 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No chocolate123chocolate123: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 chocolate123chocolate123: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
80-99Yes 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1chocolate123chocolate123: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
100-119Yes chocolate123chocolate123: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 chocolate123chocolate123: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
120-139Yes chocolate123chocolate123: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 chocolate123chocolate123: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
200+No chocolate123chocolate123: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 chocolate123chocolate123: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
6 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between November 10, 12:00 PM ET and November 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.