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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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MarketsPolitics

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 17 - November 24, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 1m agoPolymarket 24h vol $4.8K

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 11 options

200+ 18%80-99 15%60-79 14%100-119 12%

11 options

OptionAI analystsBuy
<20No smart money1%
20-39No smart money5%
40-59No smart money9%
60-79No smart money14%15%
80-99No smart money15%18%
100-119No smart money12%15%
120-139No smart money11%
140-159No smart money7%
160-179No smart money6%
180-199No smart money5%
200+No smart money18%

11 options trading.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<201%
20-395%
40-599%
60-7914%15%+1
80-9915%18%+3
100-11912%15%+3
+5 more options

AI analysts' average · <20

—

Your forecast on <20

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between November 17, 12:00 PM ET and November 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.