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"Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 8m agoPolymarket 24h vol $1K
19m-22m 39%16m-19m 30%22m-25m 15%25m-28m 12%
6 optionsin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
<16mNo smart money7%
16m-19mSmart money1 Yes0 No30%
19m-22mNo smart money39%
22m-25mNo smart money15%
25m-28mSmart money0 Yes1 No12%
28m+No smart money10%
6 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
16m-19mYes Crabsoup92Crabsoup92: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 Crabsoup92Crabsoup92: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
25m-28mNo cat-dogcat-dog: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 cat-dogcat-dog: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
4 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to how much "Ebenezer" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15). This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "Weekend" figure for the movie's first weekend on the "Domestic Weekend" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page. If neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.