OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 0 price closer, on 313–394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
$1.00-$1.10TNoDimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T202Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T2·0xa2bF3B2CED564Ce53d9FB2690b210D3aE612950xa2bF3B2CED564Ce53d9FB2690b210D3aE61295: Tier 2, #20 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T20 · 2
$700-$800BYesDimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201 · 0
$800-$900BYesDimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201 · 0
$900B-$1.00TYesDimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201 · 0
$1.10-$1.20TYesDimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201 · 0
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on October 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on October 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
