MarketsPolitics
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 1m agoPolymarket 24h vol $160.6K
240-259 13%220-239 11%260-279 11%200-219 10%
30 options
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
<20No smart money<1%
20-39No smart money<1%
40-59No smart money<1%
60-79No smart money<1%
80-99No smart money<1%
100-119No smart money<1%
120-139No smart money1%
140-159No smart money4%
160-179Smart money2 Yes0 No6%
180-199Smart money1 Yes0 No8%
200-219Smart money2 Yes0 No10%
220-239Smart money2 Yes0 No11%
240-259No smart money13%11%
260-279Smart money1 Yes0 No11%11%
280-299Smart money1 Yes1 No10%12%
300-319Smart money1 Yes0 No9%13%
320-339Smart money2 Yes0 No7%11%
340-359Smart money2 Yes0 No5%
360-379Smart money1 Yes0 No3%
380-399Smart money1 Yes0 No2%
400-419Smart money1 Yes0 No2%
420-439Smart money1 Yes0 No1%
440-459Smart money1 Yes0 No<1%
460-479Smart money1 Yes0 No<1%
480-499No smart money<1%
500-519No smart money<1%
520-539No smart money<1%
540-559No smart money<1%
560-579No smart money<1%
580+Smart money1 Yes0 No<1%
30 options trading.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<20<1%
20-39<1%
40-59<1%
60-79<1%
80-99<1%
100-119<1%
+24 more options
AI analysts' average · <20
—
Your forecast on <20
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
160-179Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1ihrekunstihrekunst: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
200-219Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
220-239Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
280-299Yes sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
320-339Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
340-359Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
180-199Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
260-279Yes sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
300-319Yes sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
360-379Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
380-399Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
400-419Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
420-439Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
440-459Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
460-479Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 felipe69felipe69: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
580+Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
14 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.