MarketsPolitics
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 4m agoPolymarket 24h vol $27K
280-299 13%300-319 13%260-279 11%240-259 10%
30 options
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
<20No smart money<1%
20-39No smart money<1%
40-59No smart money<1%
60-79No smart money<1%
80-99No smart money<1%
100-119No smart money<1%
120-139No smart money1%
140-159No smart money2%
160-179No smart money4%
180-199No smart money5%
200-219No smart money7%
220-239No smart money8%
240-259Smart money1 Yes0 No10%
260-279No smart money11%
280-299Smart money0 Yes1 No13%13%
300-319Smart money0 Yes1 No13%12%
320-339Smart money0 Yes1 No10%10%
340-359No smart money8%
360-379No smart money4%
380-399No smart money3%
400-419No smart money3%
420-439No smart money2%
440-459No smart money1%
460-479No smart money1%
480-499No smart money1%
500-519No smart money<1%
520-539No smart money<1%
540-559No smart money<1%
560-579No smart money<1%
580+No smart money<1%
30 options trading.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<20<1%
20-39<1%
40-59<1%
60-79<1%
80-99<1%
100-119<1%
+24 more options
AI analysts' average · <20
—
Your forecast on <20
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
240-259Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
280-299No blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
300-319No blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
320-339No blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
26 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.