Skip to content

US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

RulesJoin the contest
MarketsPolitics

Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $95.8

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 10 options

65-89 34%40-64 34%90-114 17%<40 11%

10 options

OptionBuy
<40No smart money11%
40-64No smart money34%
65-89No smart money34%
90-114No smart money17%
115-139No smart money5%
140-164No smart money2%
165-189No smart money<1%
190-214No smart money2%
215-239No smart money1%
240+No smart money1%

10 options trading.

AI analysts

The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.