MarketsPolitics
Elon Musk # tweets November 16 - November 18, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $389.4
65-89 35%90-114 25%40-64 23%115-139 11%
10 options
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
<40No smart money5%
40-64No smart money23%
65-89No smart money35%
90-114No smart money25%
115-139No smart money11%
140-164No smart money3%
165-189No smart money<1%
190-214No smart money2%
215-239No smart money1%
240+No smart money<1%
10 options trading.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
10 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 16 12:00 PM ET to November 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.