MarketsPolitics
Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN21 options2 closedResearch 2d ago
300-319 16%320-339 15%340-359 12%260-279 11%
21 options
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
21 options trading. +9 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
40-59———
60-79———
80-99<1%1%+1
100-119<1%1%+1
120-139<1%1%+1
140-159<1%1%+1
+15 more options
AI analysts' average · 300-319
14%
2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 360 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
220-239Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2sange111sange111: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
240-259Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2sange111sange111: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
260-279Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2sange111sange111: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
320-339Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 felipe69felipe69: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2sange111sange111: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
360-379Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 felipe69felipe69: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2sange111sange111: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
440-459Yes vcxzvdr5e4vcxzvdr5e4: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 vcxzvdr5e4vcxzvdr5e4: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
160-179Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
180-199Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
200-219Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 mcsgmcsg: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
300-319Yes sange111sange111: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 sange111sange111: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
340-359Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 felipe69felipe69: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
400-419Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 felipe69felipe69: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
420-439Yes felipe69felipe69: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 felipe69felipe69: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
480-499Yes vcxzvdr5e4vcxzvdr5e4: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 vcxzvdr5e4vcxzvdr5e4: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
7 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- 300-319 resolves Yes if the xtracker.The source market 'Post Counter' for Elon Musk (@elonmusk) shows a count in the 300-319 range for posts made from October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. It resolves No otherwise. Main feed posts, quote posts and reposts count. Replies don't count, except replies shown on the main feed, which the tracker counts. Deleted posts count if the tracker captured them (about 5 minutes). Community reposts the tracker doesn't count are excluded. X i…
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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