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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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MarketsCrypto

Ethereum above ___ on November 12?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $23.7K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

1,800 >99%1,900 97%2,000 77%2,100 20%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

11 levels open

OptionAI analystsBuy
1,800No smart money>99%99%
1,900No smart money97%97%
2,000No smart money77%93%
2,100No smart money20%
2,200No smart money2%
2,300No smart money1%
2,400No smart money<1%
2,500No smart money<1%
2,600No smart money<1%
2,700No smart money<1%
2,800No smart money<1%

11 options trading.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
1,800>99%99%−1
1,90097%97%0
2,00077%93%+16
2,10020%
2,2002%
2,3001%
+5 more options

AI analysts' average · 1,800

99%

1 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Your forecast on 1,800

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.