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French Presidential Election First Round: # of Candidates on Ballot?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $210.4
13 or more 43%9 18%11 16%12 16%
8 optionsin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
6 or fewerNo smart money1%
7No smart money5%
8No smart money12%
9No smart money18%
10No smart money14%
11No smart money16%
12No smart money16%
13 or moreNo smart money43%
8 open levels, in level order.
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News
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
8 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the number of candidates who actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "6 or fewer". Subsequent withdrawals, deaths, or disqualifications of candidates after the publication of the official candidate list will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.