MarketsCulture
"Godzilla Minus Zero" total domestic gross by December 15?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $8.2K
<100M 98%100-120M 1%120-140M <1%160-180M <1%
7 optionsin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
<100MSmart money1 Yes0 No98%82%
100-120MNo smart money1%
120-140MNo smart money<1%
140-160MNo smart money<1%
160-180MNo smart money<1%
180-200MNo smart money<1%
200M+No smart money<1%
7 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<100M98%82%−16
100-120M1%
120-140M<1%
140-160M<1%
160-180M<1%
180-200M<1%
+1 more option
AI analysts' average · <100M
82%
16 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on <100M
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
<100MYes shovelingdiggingshovelingdigging: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 shovelingdiggingshovelingdigging: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
6 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- <100M resolves Yes if the Total Gross for December 15, 2026 in the Daily Box Office Performance table on The Numbers page for 'Godzilla Minus Zero' falls in this bracket. It falls back to Box Office Mojo's 'To Date' figure if The Numbers has no final figure by January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A figure exactly on a boundary goes to the higher bracket, and with no figure at all the market resolves to the lowest bracket (<100M).
- Watch out
- Only the cumulative figure through December 15, 2026 counts, taken from The Numbers' Total Gross for that date. Studio estimates are not final, and a total exactly on a bracket boundary goes to the higher bracket.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to how much "Godzilla Minus Zero" box office will gross domestically from its opening (November 5, 2026) through December 15, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) cumulative figure through December 15, 2026 is available, and no later than January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the "Total Gross" figure for December 15, 2026 in the "Daily Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "To Date" figure for December 15, 2026 on the "Domestic Daily" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page. If a source lists no figure for December 15, 2026, its figure for the most recent listed date before December 15, 2026 will be used. If neither source has a final figure by January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the cumulative domestic gross until and including December 15, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.