MarketsTech
Jensen Huang arrested by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 2m agoPolymarket 24h vol $16.5K
December 31, 2026 5%November 30, 2026 2%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
2 levels openin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
November 30, 2026No smart money2%
December 31, 2026Smart money1 Yes0 No5%3%
2 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
November 30, 20262%
December 31, 20265%3%−2
AI analysts' average · November 30, 2026
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Your forecast on November 30, 2026
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News
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
December 31, 2026Yes TBill1TBill1: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 TBill1TBill1: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang, co-founder of NVIDIA, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying arrest occurs when Huang is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.