Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 level openResearch 8d ago
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? 4%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
1 level open
1 option trading.
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
1 pts above the market · 4 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 4 level, 0 price closer, on 313–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Yes if Kim Jong Un ceases to be North Korea's Supreme Leader for any period between market creation and December 31, 2026 (ET). An announced resignation or removal, detention, or permanent incapacity also counts. Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
