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Last song at 2027 Big Game Halftime Show?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $19.2K
Empire State of Mind 22%Encore 21%Public Service Announcement 17%Crazy in Love 15%
25 optionsby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
Empire State of MindSmart money0 Yes1 No22%15%
EncoreSmart money0 Yes1 No21%18%
Public Service AnnouncementSmart money1 Yes0 No17%12%
Crazy in LoveNo smart money15%
Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem)No smart money8%
Show Me What You GotNo smart money8%
Izzo (H.O.V.A.)No smart money6%
On to the Next OneNo smart money5%
99 ProblemsNo smart money3%
Holy GrailNo smart money3%
N****s in ParisNo smart money2%
UmbrellaNo smart money2%
ApeshitNo smart money2%
Dirt Off Your ShoulderNo smart money2%
Drunk in LoveNo smart money2%
'03 Bonnie & ClydeNo smart money2%
Run This TownNo smart money2%
Can I Get A...No smart money2%
I Just Wanna Love U (Give It 2 Me)No smart money2%
Young ForeverNo smart money2%
God DidNo smart money2%
No Church in the WildNo smart money2%
Jigga What, Jigga WhoNo smart money2%
Big Pimpin'No smart money2%
Heart of the City (Ain't No Love)No smart money2%
25 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Empire State of Mind22%15%−7
Encore21%18%−3
Public Service Announcement17%12%−5
Crazy in Love15%
Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem)8%
Show Me What You Got8%
+19 more options
AI analysts' average · Empire State of Mind
15%
7 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on Empire State of Mind
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Empire State of MindNo MeatballsubsMeatballsubs: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 MeatballsubsMeatballsubs: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
EncoreNo MeatballsubsMeatballsubs: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 MeatballsubsMeatballsubs: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Public Service AnnouncementYes MeatballsubsMeatballsubs: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 MeatballsubsMeatballsubs: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
22 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Empire State of Mind resolves Yes if it is the last song in which any performer sings at least some of the lyrics during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, scheduled for February 14, 2027. Otherwise it resolves No. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'. Footage is the primary source, with a consensus of credible reporting also used.
- Watch out
- Only the last song in which a performer sings at least some of the lyrics counts. A cancellation or delay beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET resolves the market to 'Other'.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the last song played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.