Manchester City punishment announced by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN4 levels open1 closedResearch 4d ago
December 18 22%November 20 13%December 4 13%November 6 7%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
4 levels open · in level order
1 closed level
4 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · December 18
level with the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 544 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
4 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- December 18 resolves Yes if the independent Regulatory Commission's sanctions in the Premier League's '115 charges' case against Manchester City are officially announced by the option's date, 11:59 PM ET. A decision to impose no sanction counts. A finding of breach without a sanction, leaks and other matters do not count. Otherwise it resolves No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sanctions imposed on Manchester City FC by the independent Regulatory Commission for the breaches found in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case) are officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of the sanctions set by the independent Regulatory Commission will count, regardless of whether they are later appealed, including a decision that no sanction will be imposed. If sanctions are announced in stages, the first official announcement of any sanction will count. An announcement of the findings of breach without any corresponding sanction, reports or leaks of expected sanctions, and sanctions for any other matter will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
