Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN2 levels openResearch 8h ago
December 31 12%October 31 <1%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
2 levels open
2 options trading.
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · December 31
1 pts above the market · 3 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 3 level, 0 price closer, on 313–394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- December 31 resolves Yes if Mojtaba Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran, is photographed or videotaped, with the images or video taken and released between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise it resolves No. The media must be authentic. Archival, previously recorded, reused, digitally altered, AI-generated or staged material and posthumous releases do not count. Live broadcasts and digital appearances do count. Resolution rests on the image or video and a consensus of credible reporting that it is real.
- Watch out
- Only images or video taken and released within the market's timeframe count. Archival, undated-but-previously-recorded, reused, altered, AI-generated or staged material does not count, and a credible consensus that it is real is required.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
