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Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” Sale Price
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $544
$15m-$18m 26%$24m+ 24%$21m-$24m 23%$18m-$21m 15%
5 optionsin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
<$15mNo smart money7%
$15m-$18mNo smart money26%35%
$18m-$21mNo smart money15%32%
$21m-$24mNo smart money23%24%
$24m+No smart money24%20%
5 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<$15m7%
$15m-$18m26%35%+9
$18m-$21m15%32%+17
$21m-$24m23%24%+1
$24m+24%20%−4
AI analysts' average · <$15m
—
Your forecast on <$15m
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
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News
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
5 options: no ranked trader holds them
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if the final 'Lot Sold' price on Sotheby's for Monet's 'Le Jardin des Tuileries' (Lot 4, Nov 18, 2026) falls in <$15m's bracket. A price exactly on a bracket edge goes to the higher bracket. If no sale is completed or the price is not known by Nov 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to '<$15m'.
- Watch out
- The 'final listed Lot Sold price' on Sotheby's decides. A price exactly on a bracket edge goes to the higher bracket, and an unsold lot resolves to '<$15m'.
- Resolution criteria
- Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” (Lot 4) is expected to be sold at Sotheby's Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection Evening Auction on November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the final auction sale price paid for Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries”. If the final sale price falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<$15m". The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sotheby's (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/legendary-the-blaquier-arrieta-collection-evening-auction/claude-monet-le-jardin-des-tuileries).