Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 09:34 UTCCloses Nov 5, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $245.7

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4? 90%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

1 level open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4?90%———

1 open level, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3.1 Pro by November 4, 2026 (see: https://kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k3-1-pro). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3.1 Pro by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3.1 Pro model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3.1 Pro by November 4, 2026 (see: https://kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k3-1-pro). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3.1 Pro by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3.1 Pro model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.