How do I trade on "Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

NBA: 2026-27 MVP

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN24 optionsCloses Jul 1, 2027Research 10h ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 24 options

Victor Wembanyama 27%Luka Doncic 24%Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 18%Nikola Jokic 10%

24 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Victor Wembanyama27%+1.5 pts27%none

Luka Doncic24%+5.5 pts19%0 · 1

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander18%+1.0 pts19%none

Nikola Jokic10%−3.0 pts14%none

Jayson Tatum4%+2.3 pts4%none

Giannis Antetokounmpo3%—4%none

Jalen Brunson1%−0.1 pts2%none

Tyrese Haliburton1%—1%none

Anthony Edwards1%−10.9 pts5%none

Jaylen Brown<1%—1%none

Alperen Sengun<1%−0.4 pts1%none

Devin Booker<1%+0.4 pts1%none

Stephen Curry<1%+0.3 pts1%none

Kawhi Leonard<1%—1%none

Cooper Flagg<1%—1%none

Donovan Mitchell<1%—1%none

Karl-Anthony Towns<1%—1%none

LeBron James<1%−0.4 pts1%none

Anthony Davis<1%—1%none

Kevin Durant<1%—1%none

Evan Mobley<1%−0.1 pts1%none

Jamal Murray<1%−0.1 pts1%none

LaMelo Ball<1%−0.1 pts1%none

Austin Reaves———none

24 options trading, by chance. +9 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

4 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 10h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Victor Wembanyama27%27%0

Luka Doncic24%19%−5

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander18%19%+1

Nikola Jokic10%14%+4

Jayson Tatum4%4%0

Giannis Antetokounmpo3%4%+1

+18 more options

AI analysts' average · Victor Wembanyama

27%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

4d
Inside Victor Wembanyama’s Net Worth, NBA Salary, and Off-Court Business Moves
Athlon Sports
5d
Kalshi NBA MVP Market: Victor Wembanyama, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Nikola Jokic, and Luka Doncic Battling
Sports Illustrated
6d
NBA MVP Odds: Victor Wembanyama Finally Favored to Stop Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Run in 2027
Oddschecker
6d
Spurs’ Victor Wembanyama calls out issues that got Thunder ‘having fun’
ClutchPoints
6d
Jared McCain gives Thunder another reason to smile as Victor Wembanyama struggles in NBA opener
Yahoo Sports

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

Luka DoncicNo ndb1 T201 ndb1 T20 · 1

23 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 24 options

Victor Wembanyama resolves Yes if that player wins the NBA Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 regular season. Otherwise it resolves No. In a tie, the official NBA winner counts, and if there are several winners, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. It resolves 'Other' if the season is cancelled, or if no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The source is the NBA's official information, backed by credible reporting.Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Victor Wembanyama resolves Yes if that player wins the NBA Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 regular season. Otherwise it resolves No. In a tie, the official NBA winner counts, and if there are several winners, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. It resolves 'Other' if the season is cancelled, or if no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The source is the NBA's official information, backed by credible reporting.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How markets resolve