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NBA: 2026-27 Regular Season Win Totals

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN1 level openResearch 1d ago

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Miami Heat 53%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

1 level open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Miami Heat53%—43%none

1 open level, in level order. +29 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 1d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Miami Heat53%43%−10

AI analysts' average · Miami Heat

43%

10 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

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Rules

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In plain English
Over (Yes) if the Miami Heat win more than 46.5 (47 or more) 2026-27 NBA regular-season games, counting NBA Cup group and knockout games except the Cup final. Preseason, the Cup final, Play-In and playoff games do not count. Otherwise Under. If the line becomes unreachable, it resolves Under.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the over ("O") outcome if the Miami Heat record more than 46.5 wins during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to the under ("U") outcome. Only wins in 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Preseason, NBA Cup Championship game, Play-In Tournament and playoff games do not count. If at any point it becomes impossible for the Miami Heat to finish the 2026-27 NBA regular season above the listed line, this market will resolve to the under ("U") outcome. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, shortened, or postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the over ("O") outcome if the Miami Heat recorded more wins than the listed line in games played by that time, or to the under ("U") outcome if the Miami Heat could not have finished above the listed line even if their full original 82-game schedule had been played. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "50-50". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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