How do I trade on "Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

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Netanyahu out by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels openCloses Jul 2, 2027Research 9h ago

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

June 30, 2027 41%March 31, 2027 29%December 31 18%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 3118%−24.0 pts32%1 · 4

March 31, 202729%−41.0 pts33%none

June 30, 202741%−44.5 pts40%none

3 options trading.

AI analysts

3 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 9h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

December 3118%32%+14

March 31, 202729%33%+4

June 30, 202741%40%−1

AI analysts' average · June 30, 2027

40%

1 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

2h
Coalition talks loom as Israel exit polls suggest Netanyahu and Eisenkot blocs tied
The Guardian
3h
'When Trump endorsed Bibi': US president credits his backing of Netanyahu for PM's electoral boost
The Times of Israel
3h
Turnaround at PolyMarket after the exit polls: Netanyahu leads in the odds to become Prime Minister
i24NEWS
3h
Netanyahu tells supporters party still waiting for 'real' election results — as it happened
ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation
3h
Israel election results live: exit polls point to tie between Netanyahu and Eisenkot blocs
The Guardian
3h
Israel's opposition bloc vows to seize chance to replace Benjamin Netanyahu
The Jerusalem Post
3h
Netanyahu and opposition on equal footing in Israeli election with no clear winner
ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation
4h
Netanyahu defiant as Israel’s election creates deadlock
AFR
5h
Netanyahu, Eisenkot stake rival claims to lead Israel after deadlocked vote
Reuters
5h
Israeli Vote Too Close to Call Between Netanyahu and Eisenkot
Bloomberg
5h
Netanyahu and rival each claim mandate after tight Israel election
Yahoo News Singapore
5h
Netanyahu: We must form strong, national, right-wing government, remove existential threat from Iran
The Times of Israel
5h
Exit polls signal blow for Netanyahu but no clear winner in Israel election
Al Jazeera
5h
Exit polls show outgoing Netanyahu coalition losing majority, but uncertainty over nature of next government
The Times of Israel
5h
Netanyahu: Coalition with Arab parties would be ‘shameful’
Al Jazeera
5h
Netanyahu says right-wing bloc won 'decisive majority' among the Zionist public; plans to form 'right-wing, national government'; claims 'Iran weaker than ever, Israel stronger than ever'
The Times of Israel
5h
Israel election appears to have no clear winner with Netanyahu, opponent Eisenkot far short of majorities
CNBC
5h
‘Govt Backed By Arab Parties Out Of Question’: Netanyahu Claims Right-Wing Bloc Has Decisive Majority
News18
5h
Netanyahu rival Eisenkot ready to form govt amid Israeli election deadlock
chinadailyhk
6h
Israeli elections: Exit polls show no clear winner as Netanyahu and Eisenkot both vow to form a government
Le Monde.fr
6h
Netanyahu vows to confront Iran threat alongside Trump as exit polls show no clear majority
Ynetnews
6h
Netanyahu arrives at Likud election event in Jerusalem
The Times of Israel
6h
In reversal, pro-Netanyahu bloc rises to 52 seats in updated exit poll to overtake opposition bloc
The Times of Israel
6h
It’s time to set ego aside: Netanyahu, Eisenkot must form unity government - comment
The Jerusalem Post
6h
Netanyahu, Eisenkot camps clash over Israel election projections
Al Jazeera
6h
Netanyahu’s bloc falls back to 60 seats in updated exit poll from pro-government TV channel
The Times of Israel
6h
Looking Over Benjamin Netanyahu’s Shoulder
Foundation for Defense of Democracies
7h
Eisenkot: I will do my utmost to form a Zionist government, with national service for all; Netanyahu should step down
The Times of Israel
7h
'Netanyahu Lost!': Israeli Opposition Leaders Hail Election Results
i24NEWS
8h
Pro-Netanyahu bloc rises to 51 seats in updated Channel 13 exit poll, pulling even with anti-Netanyahu bloc
The Times of Israel
8h
Analysis • How Netanyahu's scare campaign against Arab voters backfired
Haaretz
8h
'Netanyahu has lost': Bennett declares victory despite change bloc falling short of Knesset majority
Ynetnews
8h
Israeli opposition leads Netanyahu after inconclusive vote
The Japan Times
8h
Opinion | Will Netanyahu refuse to accept the election results?
Haaretz
8h
Israel election: Record turnout as Netanyahu and Eisenkot remain deadlocked
France 24
9h
Netanyahu wins election, but opposition bloc has more seats, according to polls
EFE - Agencia de noticias
10h
Netanyahu loses seats, trails challenger Gadi Eisenkot in Israel election, exit polls show — here’s what happens next
New York Post
10h
Benjamin Netanyahu calls for right-wing government
The Jerusalem Post
10h
Israel election results leave Benjamin Netanyahu coalition in doubt
The Jerusalem Post
10h
Israel’s polls close as Netanyahu seeks another term in office. Here’s what exit polls are showing
KMVT
10h
Eisenkot urges against new election, warns Netanyahu against political war
Haaretz
10h
Netanyahu or Eisenkot? Israel's election leaves Herzog with an impossible choice - comment
The Jerusalem Post
11h
Israel's voter turnout soars as Netanyahu faces a tight election
NPR
11h
Israel's election turnout soars, lifting opposition hopes of beating Netanyahu
Connecticut Public
11h
Israel exit polls show Netanyahu, Eisenkot short of majority as Arab parties surge
Al-Monitor
11h
Update | Netanyahu, Eisenkot each vow to govern as Israeli election yields no clear winner
South China Morning Post
11h
No clear winner as Netanyahu and Eisenkot appear short of outright victory, exit polls suggest
CNN
11h
No clear winner in Israeli election, exit polls indicate, as Netanyahu's fate hangs in the balance
PBS
11h
Murky Israeli election results leave both Netanyahu and Eisenkot battling for power
Jewish Telegraphic Agency
11h
Israeli exit polls show huge Palestinian gains block Netanyahu from forming government
Middle East Eye
11h
Israel election exit polls: Benjamin Netanyahu, Gadi Eisenkot both fail to win majority
The Jerusalem Post
11h
Israel Election 2026 • What Israel's exit polls are showing: Netanyahu defeated?
Haaretz
11h
Benjamin Netanyahu’s day of reckoning is here
Vox
13h
Arab parties in Israel accuse Netanyahu of inciting hatred to scare voters
Al Jazeera
15h
Netanyahu warns of Arab voter surge in Israel's election; Arab leaders call tactic racist
Reuters
17h
'Emergency': Netanyahu Rails Nonstop Against Alleged High Arab Election Turnout
Haaretz
17h
Israel Election Live Updates: Early Turnout Appears Strong as Netanyahu Faces Challenge Led by Eisenkot
The New York Times
17h
Live: Israelis head to the polls as Netanyahu fights for political life
Middle East Eye
18h
Israel election latest: Early Israeli election turnout highest in decades as Netanyahu fights to keep power
CNN
19h
Netanyahu casts his vote in Israel's elections
NBC News
19h
Netanyahu Sounds ‘Emergency’ as Israel Election Turnout Highest in 50 Years
Newsweek
19h
Israel Votes Today: What the Election Means for Americans and How Netanyahu's Rivals Differ
Northeast Times
20h
Netanyahu scrambles for votes as Israelis turn out in record numbers
AFP.com
20h
"Security of Jewish state at stake": Netanyahu urges supporters to come out and vote, claims left 'stealing election'
ANI News
20h
Former PLO official says Netanyahu-Eisenkot coalition could be possible
Al Jazeera
20h
A loss by Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu could lower the political heat in Washington
Washington Times
20h
World awaits results of Israeli election that could replace Netanyahu
CBS News
20h
Netanyahu casts vote in Israel polls, urges supporters to 'wake up vote Likud' as voter turnout hits 31.5% at noon
ANI News
20h
Israelis head to the polls with Netanyahu’s future at stake, in photos
Your Valley
21h
How Israel's elections work as Netanyahu fights to stay in power
Axios
21h
Israel elections: Netanyahu faces crucial test; reports of fraud attempts, missing ballots - top developm
The Times of India
21h
Israelis shatter turnout records in election that will pass wartime judgment on Netanyahu
CBC
22h
Win or lose, Netanyahu could remain in power for months after Israeli election as Iran tensions loom
Euronews.com
22h
Netanyahu’s future hangs in the balance in a decisive election for the entire Middle East
EL PAÍS English
23h
Polls open in Israel as Netanyahu seeks reelection
NPR
23h
Polls open in Israel as Netanyahu faces close contest after three years of war
RFI
1d
Likud said already preparing to allege election was ‘stolen’ if Netanyahu loses
The Times of Israel
1d
A pivotal election in Israel, and Netanyahu’s next test
Euronews.com
1d
Military Officials Say Netanyahu Using Clash With IDF Chief for Campaign Purposes
Haaretz
1d
Will Netanyahu win his 7th term? Election in Israel has split American politics ahead of midterms
Firstpost
1d
Polls suggest a tight race between Netanyahu and his main rival. Here's what to know as Israel votes
Oskaloosa Herald
1d
Israel votes: 10 factors that could decide Netanyahu's political future
Ynetnews
1d
Can Netanyahu Survive Israel’s Election as Voters Weigh War and October 7 Failures?
Modern Diplomacy
1d
Gadi Eisenkot is nothing like Netanyahu. Can he win Israel's vote?
USA Today
1d
Analysis • What Netanyahu might do after the election is the real danger
Haaretz
1d
Israel Votes In Most Consequential Election In Country's History As Netanyahu Seeks Re-Election
Kurdistan24
1d
Can Netanyahu win Israel elections despite October 7 and Iran War?
Firstpost
1d
Israelis Go to Polls in Tight Race to Decide Netanyahu’s Fate
Bloomberg.com
1d
Israel election 2026 live: Netanyahu faces tough test in high-stakes polls
Al Jazeera
1d
As polls show deadlock, betting markets strongly favor Eisenkot to replace Netanyahu
The Times of Israel
1d
Israel Votes: Netanyahu Warns Against Rivals as Allies Explore Unity Govt With Eisenkot
Open Magazine
1d
Israel elections latest: Polls open as Netanyahu fights for political survival
Sky News
1d
Gadi Eisenkot, a former Israeli chief, has emerged as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s main opponent in the upcoming elections in Israel. The New York Times Jerusalem bureau chief, David Halbfinger, describes why Eisenkot is resonating with Israeli vo
Facebook
1d
Israelis vote in tense election seen as a referendum on Netanyahu
France 24
1d
Voters in Israel are deciding whether to oust Netanyahu after 3 years of war
AP News
1d
Israeli opposition parties outperform Netanyahu’s diminished bloc, exit polls show
The Christian Science Monitor
1d
Netanyahu’s legacy is on the line as Israelis vote in the first elections since the Oct. 7 attack
Politico
1d
'This time I won't vote for Likud,' Netanyahu's cousin says, citing October 7
The Jerusalem Post
1d
Benjamin Netanyahu: Israel's longest-serving PM fighting for survival
Al-Monitor
1d
'Done a very good job': As Israel votes, Trump says Netanyahu did not ask for second endorsement
WION

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

December 31Yes Bertapotamous T1 No whig T2 1 Bertapotamous T14 whig T2troim T2 1 · 4

2 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Resolves Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu announces his resignation as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down or is removed, at any moment up to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (for the June 30, 2027 market, the deadline is the option's date). An announcement of resignation or removal before the deadline is enough, whether or not he actually steps down. Otherwise No. Israeli government information decides, backed by a consensus of credible reporting.Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Resolves Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu announces his resignation as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down or is removed, at any moment up to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (for the June 30, 2027 market, the deadline is the option's date). An announcement of resignation or removal before the deadline is enough, whether or not he actually steps down. Otherwise No. Israeli government information decides, backed by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How markets resolve