MarketsElections
Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $0
Kamala Harris 46%Raphael Warnock 46%Gavin Newsom 46%Cory Booker 46%
20 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Kamala Harris46%———
Raphael Warnock46%———
Gavin Newsom46%———
Cory Booker46%———
Mark Kelly46%———
Jon Stewart46%———
Pete Buttigieg46%———
Ro Khanna46%———
Bernie Sanders46%———
Michelle Obama44%———
Jon Ossoff43%———
Josh Shapiro43%———
J.B. Pritzker43%———
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez42%———
Wes Moore42%———
Rahm Emanuel42%———
James Talarico42%———
Roy Cooper42%———
Stephen A. Smith42%———
Andy Beshear42%———
20 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- Nevada is expected to hold a Democratic presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Nevada Democratic primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Nevada public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count that determines the apportionment of statewide delegates. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 Nevada primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by the earliest of November 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the first day of the 2028 Democratic convention, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.