MarketsPolitics
New US State admitted during Trump's term?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $475.1
New US State admitted during Trump's term? 3%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
1 level openin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
New US State admitted during Trump's term?No smart money3%
1 open level, in level order.
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by January 20, 2029, 11:59 AM ET, a new state is admitted into the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A state will be considered admitted upon the final approval of the last legal step required for admission into the union. This may be through enactment of a law, or through the passage of a self-executing referendum or other binding process that commits the territory to become a new state without any further discretionary legal action required. This market will resolve once the final legal step to admission is completed, regardless of the effective date of admission to the union. A presidential proclamation or similar formal act that the President is required to issue once other conditions are met (e.g., approval of a referendum) will not be considered a further legal step. A law that only authorizes or advances a path toward statehood — such as an enabling act, the authorization of a statehood referendum or plebiscite, or the establishment of a commission or process — will not alone qualify. Where the last legal step required for admission into the union is a referendum or plebiscite, it will be considered approved upon concurrent election calls from AP, Fox, & CBS, or where such calls are not available prior to official certification, from the official certified results of the vote. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government (such as the enacted public law) or relevant territorial or state election authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used, including election calls from AP, Fox, & CBS.