MarketsPolitics
Next Premier of British Columbia
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
CLOSED0 options3 closedResearch 5d ago
0 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
3 closed options
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AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · Lorne Doerkson
80%
9 pts below the market · 4 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 4 level, 0 price closer, on 313–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Yes if Lorne Doerkson is formally sworn in as Premier of British Columbia following the general election scheduled for October 24, 2026. Interim or caretaker premiers don't count. If no Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
- Resolution criteria
- The 2026 British Columbia general election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of British Columbia as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of British Columbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Waiting for official results.
- Expected by . The source's official result is not final yet. This market waits for it.
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